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What this means. A wallet put $14.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 27% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 16 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-06-26?excluded
$14.6k
BUY No @ 27¢ · 54,240 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet jtwyslljy took No (buy) for $14.6k at an average 27¢. At that price the market implied a 27% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 27¢ means
27%chance the market gave
+270American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
27¢
Implied odds
27.0%
As American odds
+270 no vig
Size
$14.6k
Placed
Jun 26, 15:02 EDT
Market close
Jun 26, 15:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
jtwyslljy
Tx
0xcb74ec73…
This wallet's graded record
9/16+13.8 pts
expected 6.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -27 pts
No price · entry 27¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 27¢ · $14.6k WHALE $14.6K @ 27¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.1k0% Anonymous11267119d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.4k0% Rickz88119d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $31.4k100% upont119d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.4¢ $49.9k98% Malfunction.119d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ $10.9k99% Jhosue77119d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.7¢ $11.0k1% 0xcc32…92d2119d agoexcluded