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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +43.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+43.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$715.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$537.5k
Last 30 days −$43.7k · $17.63M volume · 5,708 trades · since Dec 16, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.89M
Open P&L · 349 positions
−$1.80M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
312d
976 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +43.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | LOW BUY 76ers @ 43¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
 Commanders vs. 49ers | MED BUY 49ers @ 95¢ | $161.5k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| Rams vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Rams @ 80¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
 Texas A&M vs. LSU | LOW BUY LSU @ 90¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Falcons vs. Packers | LOW BUY Packers @ 65¢ | $19.2k | excluded |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | MED BUY Chiefs @ 75¢ | $70.5k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | LOW BUY Colts @ 40¢ | $36.8k | excluded |
 Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals | LOW BUY Washington Nationals @ 87¢ | $34.8k | excluded |
 UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Mackenzie Dern @ 91¢ | $46.7k | excluded |
 Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $84.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $11.4k | called |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | LOW BUY Argentina @ 70¢ | $17.3k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | MED BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $35.9k | excluded |
 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | MED BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 92¢ | $128.8k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
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