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What this means. A wallet put $75.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.2 pts over 32 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-06-26?called
$75.1k
BUY Yes @ 60¢ · 125,156 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports

What happened

Wallet Allezpapa took Yes (buy) for $75.1k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $75.1k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
60¢
Implied odds
60.0%
As American odds
−150 no vig
Size
$75.1k
Placed
Jun 24, 23:29 EDT
Market close
Jun 26, 15:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Allezpapa
Tx
0x6641a979…
This wallet's graded record
18/32+12.2 pts
expected 14.1 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +40 pts
Yes price · entry 60¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 60¢ · $75.1k WHALE $75.1K @ 60¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.1k0% Anonymous11267119d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.4k0% Rickz88119d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $31.4k100% upont119d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.4¢ $49.9k98% Malfunction.119d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ $10.9k99% Jhosue77119d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.7¢ $11.0k1% 0xcc32…92d2119d agoexcluded