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What this means. A wallet put $35.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 70% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-06-26?excluded
$35.9k
BUY Yes @ 70¢ · 51,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet User1244322 took Yes (buy) for $35.9k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 70% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $35.9k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 70¢ means
70%chance the market gave
−237American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
70¢
Implied odds
70.3%
As American odds
−237 no vig
Size
$35.9k
Placed
Jun 26, 14:33 EDT
Market close
Jun 26, 15:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
User1244322
Tx
0x3734a8a7…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+43.0 pts
expected 0.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +30 pts
Yes price · entry 70¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 70¢ · $35.9k WHALE $35.9K @ 70¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.1k0% Anonymous11267120d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.4k0% Rickz88120d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $31.4k100% upont120d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.4¢ $49.9k98% Malfunction.120d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ $10.9k99% Jhosue77120d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.7¢ $11.0k1% 0xcc32…92d2120d agoexcluded