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What this means. A wallet put $2.07M on Yes, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-06-26?called
$2.07M
BUY Yes @ 62¢ · 3,310,373 shares in 9 fills
Size ≥ $250k9 fills in 1hSports

What happened

Wallet BAREFLUX took Yes (buy) for $2.07M at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $2.07M+3
9 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−167American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
62¢
Implied odds
62.5%
As American odds
−167 no vig
Size
$2.07M
Placed
Jun 26, 12:07 EDT
Market close
Jun 26, 15:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
BAREFLUX
Tx
0xf6c0a803…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-1.2 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +38 pts
Yes price · entry 62¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 62¢ · $2.07M WHALE $2.07M @ 62¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.1k0% Anonymous11267119d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.4k0% Rickz88119d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $31.4k100% upont119d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.4¢ $49.9k98% Malfunction.119d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ $10.9k99% Jhosue77119d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.7¢ $11.0k1% 0xcc32…92d2119d agoexcluded