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ygggg1

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 10 of 17. The prices it paid implied about 9.8 wins, so it did +1.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Without its single best bet: -2.8 pts. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+1.2 pts
Called / graded
10/17
Expected from price
9.8
Flagged volume
$6.23M
Sample size17 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±10.8 pts std. error.

Graded P&L at their stakes

−$154k
17 graded bets in the order they resolved · 10 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
−$218k$0$52k
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pla at 34¢) and the edge is -2.8 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
0–20¢
0% vs 5% · n=1
20–40¢
50% vs 31% · n=2
40–60¢
67% vs 54% · n=6
60–80¢
50% vs 67% · n=6
80–100¢
100% vs 93% · n=2
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1.06M
Last 30 days +$2,990 · $48.83M volume · 14,759 trades · since Oct 25, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 426 closed
−$1.00M
Open P&L · 10 positions
−$46.2k
Closed-position win rate
46%
426 closed
Wallet age · markets
364d
383 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports16109.3+4.7 pts
Other100.5-53.9 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageLOW BUY Anyones Legend @ 66¢ $10.2k66% 18h agoexcluded
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Argentina @ 9.5¢ $11.1k10% 96d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-18?MED BUY No @ 44¢ $44.0k44% 97d agoexcluded
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsMED BUY T1 @ 34¢ $33.2k34% 99d agocalled
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group DLOW BUY JD Gaming @ 28¢ $15.0k28% 100d agomissed
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceMED BUY England @ 54¢ $146.4k
3.9× usual
54% 100d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY England @ 54¢ $83.2k
2.2× usual
54% 101d agomissed
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED BUY Yes @ 22¢ $37.3k22% 102d agomissed
Will France win on 2026-07-14?MED SELL Yes @ 40¢ $83.4k
2.2× usual
60% 102d agocalled
Will France win on 2026-07-14?MED BUY Yes @ 42¢ $86.5k
2.3× usual
42% 104d agomissed
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerLOW SELL Bilibili Gaming @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% 104d agoexcluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerLOW BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 48¢ $14.5k48% 104d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED BUY Yes @ 21¢ $27.5k21% 104d agomissed
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Switzerland @ 25¢ $25.2k75% 104d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Switzerland @ 24¢ $24.5k24% 104d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?MED BUY No @ 43¢ $43.2k43% 104d agoexcluded
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceMED SELL England @ 86¢ $31.2k14% 104d agoexcluded
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY England @ 58¢ $45.8k58% 104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?MED SELL No @ 89¢ $89.2k
2.4× usual
11% 104d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY Yes @ 16¢ $16.0k16% 106d agomissed
Will France win on 2026-07-09?MED SELL Yes @ 63¢ $81.6k
2.2× usual
37% 106d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL England @ 85¢ $13.6k15% 110d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY England @ 52¢ $78.0k
2.1× usual
52% 110d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?HIGH SELL Yes @ 91.8¢ $125.7k
3.4× usual
8% 111d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?MED BUY Yes @ 34¢ $36.3k34% 111d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ $52.0k52% 112d agocalled
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?MED SELL Yes @ 82¢ $41.0k18% 112d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ $43.0k86% 112d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ $20.0k50% 114d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-30?MED SELL Yes @ 76¢ $46.1k24% 115d agomissed
Will France win on 2026-06-30?LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ $50.0k77% 115d agocalled
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ $58.0k58% 117d agocalled
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ $74.0k74% 117d agomissed
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ $57.9k58% 118d agocalled
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ $90.0k
2.4× usual
45% 118d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?LOW BUY No @ 43¢ $100.0k
2.7× usual
43% 119d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 95.6¢ $10.9k4% 119d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?MED BUY Yes @ 72¢ $144.0k
3.9× usual
72% 119d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?MED SELL Yes @ 45¢ $141.5k
3.8× usual
55% 120d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?MED BUY Yes @ 50¢ $31.9k50% 120d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?MED SELL Yes @ 46¢ $146.7k
3.9× usual
54% 120d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?LOW SELL No @ 53¢ $13.3k47% 120d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?LOW BUY No @ 53¢ $33.2k53% 120d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?MED BUY Yes @ 49¢ $162.4k
4.4× usual
49% 120d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 14¢ $28.1k86% 120d agocalled
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED SELL Yes @ 19¢ $37.3k81% 120d agocalled
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 14¢ $27.6k86% 120d agomissed
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 10¢ $11.3k90% 120d agocalled
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 7.5¢ $15.1k92% 120d agocalled
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 5.5¢ $10.7k95% 120d agocalled
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?LOW BUY Yes @ 39¢ $17.2k39% 120d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?LOW SELL No @ 62¢ $14.9k38% 120d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?MED BUY No @ 57¢ $139.1k
3.7× usual
57% 120d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?LOW SELL Yes @ 44¢ $44.2k56% 120d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?LOW BUY Yes @ 29¢ $10.5k29% 120d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ $53.5k54% 121d agomissed
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?MED BUY Yes @ 63¢ $153.2k
4.1× usual
63% 121d agomissed
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?MED BUY Yes @ 52¢ $104.0k
2.8× usual
52% 121d agomissed
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?LOW SELL No @ 35¢ $12.3k65% 121d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?LOW BUY No @ 37¢ $13.0k37% 121d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?LOW SELL Yes @ 52¢ $23.7k48% 121d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY Yes @ 15¢ $17.9k15% 121d agomissed
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ $35.0k76% 121d agoexcluded
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED BUY Yes @ 19¢ $38.8k19% 121d agomissed
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED BUY Yes @ 14¢ $27.8k14% 121d agocalled
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY Yes @ 11¢ $21.8k11% 121d agomissed
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY Yes @ 5.4¢ $10.8k5% 121d agomissed
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?MED BUY Yes @ 69¢ $226.0k
6.1× usual
69% 122d agoexcluded
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5LOW BUY Over @ 66¢ $30.0k66% 122d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?LOW BUY Yes @ 39¢ $58.5k39% 123d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?MED SELL Yes @ 81¢ $67.4k19% 123d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ $56.6k68% 124d agocalled
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ $50.0k62% 124d agocalled
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ $50.0k69% 124d agomissed
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ $50.0k70% 124d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?LOW BUY No @ 71¢ $50.0k71% 125d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 35¢ $17.4k65% 125d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ $34.5k69% 125d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?LOW BUY No @ 43¢ $20.0k43% 126d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ $18.1k61% 126d agoexcluded
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ $30.0k47% 127d agocalled
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?LOW BUY No @ 27¢ $10.8k27% 127d agoexcluded
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?MED BUY Yes @ 51¢ $102.0k
2.7× usual
51% 127d agoexcluded
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?MED BUY No @ 28¢ $30.0k28% 128d agoexcluded
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?MED SELL Yes @ 72¢ $50.7k28% 128d agoexcluded
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ $50.0k71% 128d agocalled
Will England win on 2026-06-17?MED BUY Yes @ 59¢ $118.0k
3.2× usual
59% 128d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?LOW BUY No @ 24¢ $24.0k24% 128d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ $33.0k67% 129d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?LOW BUY No @ 32¢ $16.8k32% 129d agomissed
Will France win on 2026-06-16?MED SELL Yes @ 61¢ $151.9k
4.1× usual
39% 129d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ $44.9k49% 129d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?LOW SELL No @ 51¢ $30.6k49% 129d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?LOW BUY No @ 53¢ $31.8k53% 129d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ $99.0k
2.7× usual
66% 129d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?LOW SELL No @ 34¢ $51.0k66% 129d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?MED BUY No @ 34¢ $51.0k34% 129d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?HIGH SELL Yes @ 67¢ $100.5k
2.7× usual
33% 129d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ $100.5k
2.7× usual
67% 130d agocalled
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL Yes @ 40¢ $53.8k60% 130d agoexcluded
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ $142.5k
3.8× usual
53% 130d agoexcluded
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Over @ 39¢ $70.0k39% 130d agoexcluded
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ $136.7k
3.7× usual
68% 130d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?MED BUY Yes @ 66¢ $120.0k
3.2× usual
66% 130d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?MED BUY Yes @ 76¢ $112.7k
3.0× usual
76% 130d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?MED SELL Yes @ 92¢ $60.0k8% 130d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ $60.0k92% 131d agomissed
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ $23.0k52% 131d agocalled
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3LOW BUY MOUZ @ 58¢ $12.5k58% 132d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3LOW SELL Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ $16.0k0% 132d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3LOW BUY Team Falcons @ 78¢ $12.5k78% 133d agocalled
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3LOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 71¢ $12.5k71% 133d agocalled
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3LOW SELL Spirit @ 63¢ $23.6k37% 134d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3LOW BUY Spirit @ 64¢ $19.8k64% 134d agocalled
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3LOW BUY Spirit @ 64¢ $28.2k64% 134d agocalled
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2LOW BUY GamerLegion @ 58¢ $12.7k58% 138d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1LOW BUY TYLOO @ 62¢ $18.6k62% 142d agocalled
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ $19.9k54% 146d agomissed

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