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What this means. A wallet put $37.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 81% chance. It won. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called
$37.3k
SELL Yes @ 19¢ · 200,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet ygggg1 took Yes (sell) for $37.3k at an average 19¢. At that price the market implied a 81% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $37.3k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
19¢
Implied odds
81.4%
As American odds
−436 no vig
Size
$37.3k
Placed
Jun 25, 21:04 EDT
Market close
Jul 14, 20:07 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
ygggg1
Tx
0x4e3974ea…
This wallet's graded record
10/17+1.2 pts
expected 9.8 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $19.4k0% sh0000101d agoexcluded
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $37.5k100% bin74848484848101d agoexcluded
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $43.5k99% Prometheusssss101d agoexcluded
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED BUY No @ 97.7¢ $2.57M
62.1× usual
98% 0x2c33…0563101d agoexcluded
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ $30.3k98% Bertapotamous101d agoexcluded
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED SELL No @ 97¢ $26.7k3% macrosteaks101d agomissed