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What this means. A wallet put $2.57M on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$2.57M
BUY No @ 97.7¢ · 2,626,524 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite3 fills in 1h61.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took No (buy) for $2.57M at an average 97.7¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $2.57M+3
Near-certain price-2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4185American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.7¢
- Implied odds
- 97.7%
- As American odds
- −4185 no vig
- Size
- $2.57M
- Placed
- Jul 14, 16:47 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 20:07 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0xd50aa947…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 97.7¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.4k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $37.5k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $43.5k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 97¢ | $26.7k | missed |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 95.1¢ | $16.3k | missed |