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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +6.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+6.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$323.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.7 pts std. error.
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +6.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $43.5k | excluded |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $28.3k | excluded |
 United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
 Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $42.8k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 97¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 94¢ | $22.0k | called |
 Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
 Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
 Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x678d4e…