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What this means. A wallet put $43.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$43.5k
BUY No @ 99.4¢ · 43,779 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteSports
What happened
Wallet Prometheusssss took No (buy) for $43.5k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $43.5k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−15579American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.4¢
- Implied odds
- 99.4%
- As American odds
- −15579 no vig
- Size
- $43.5k
- Placed
- Jul 14, 16:50 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 20:07 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Prometheusssss
- Tx
- 0x7668582b…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+6.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 99.4¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.4k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $37.5k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 97.7¢ | $2.57M 61.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 97¢ | $26.7k | missed |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 95.1¢ | $16.3k | missed |