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Will France win on 2026-07-09?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $81.6k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 37% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-07-09?excluded$81.6k
SELL Yes @ 63¢ · 130,050 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet ygggg1 took Yes (sell) for $81.6k at an average 63¢. At that price the market implied a 37% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $81.6k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 63¢
- Implied odds
- 37.3%
- As American odds
- +168 no vig
- Size
- $81.6k
- Placed
- Jul 09, 16:33 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 09, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ygggg1
- Tx
- 0x0d42eedc…
This wallet's graded record
10/17+1.2 pts
expected 9.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -37 ptsYes price · entry 63¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $38.3k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $17.1k | excluded |