← Live flags
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $53.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?excluded$53.8k
SELL Yes @ 40¢ · 134,438 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ygggg1 took Yes (sell) for $53.8k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $53.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 60.0%
- As American odds
- −150 no vig
- Size
- $53.8k
- Placed
- Jun 15, 21:58 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ygggg1
- Tx
- 0x2dfdbcc8…
This wallet's graded record
10/17+1.2 pts
expected 9.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +40 ptsYes price · entry 40¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 27¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $30.9k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $28.7k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $13.5k | excluded |