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Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Resolved: No
Flags
41
Net whale flow → Yes
−$4.60M
Yes 7d ago → now
—
Category
Sports
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$6.94M
11 flags
$371.3k
4 wallets
none
Yes$2.39M
29 flags
$62.1k
2 wallets
none
Not Yes$53.8k
1 flag
none none

A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $16.0k91% 0x2c33…0563130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Yes @ 27¢ $12.0k27% richrichrichsad130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ $13.7k41% ferrariChampions2026130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ $30.9k41% zhuz632130d agoexcluded
LOW SELL Yes @ 40¢ $53.8k60% ygggg1130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ $28.7k41% 0xf751…fec8130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ $13.5k41% qqqp130d agoexcluded
MED BUY No @ 74¢ $39.3k74% swisstony PROVEN130d agoexcluded
MED BUY No @ 50¢ $121.8k
2.9× usual
50% 0x2c33…0563130d agoexcluded
MED BUY Yes @ 25¢ $29.2k25% 0x5966…f804130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 74¢ $17.5k74% SuZhe130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ $19.5k52% ThePREDICTORRRR130d agoexcluded
HIGH BUY No @ 49¢ $6.35M49% mintblade NEW130d agoexcluded
MED BUY Yes @ 50¢ $46.9k50% swisstony PROVEN130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ $11.1k50% heal-.-130d agoexcluded
MED BUY Yes @ 51¢ $124.0k
4.2× usual
51% rabbitfoot1130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ $10.2k51% huli3882130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ $13.7k51% nottop6896130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ $19.6k52% deeppockets3130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ $44.7k52% zhuz632130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ $18.9k52% 0xb2c1…4cf3130d agoexcluded
MED BUY Yes @ 52¢ $18.6k52% 0x72f8…1dfc NEW130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 48¢ $35.4k
2.0× usual
48% 0x5375…aeea130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ $11.5k53% 0xa398…6c83130d agoexcluded
MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ $142.5k
3.8× usual
53% ygggg1130d agoexcluded
HIGH BUY Yes @ 54¢ $417.3k
3.0× usual
54% Winnerdinnerchickenjr130d agoexcluded
MED BUY No @ 48¢ $30.1k48% sdfadsf234130d agoexcluded
HIGH BUY Yes @ 54¢ $486.0k54% 0x4c6a…0f47130d agoexcluded
MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ $108.0k54% 0xc67a…f0b6130d agoexcluded
MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ $108.0k54% 0xa4b1…5143130d agoexcluded
MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ $324.0k54% 0x8cb4…1057130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ $15.0k54% JUSTINHERBERTMVP130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ $15.3k54% neutralwave23 PROVEN130d agoexcluded
HIGH BUY No @ 46¢ $237.1k
3.7× usual
46% weflyhigh PROVEN130d agocalled
LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ $11.0k55% Feromont130d agomissed
LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ $23.7k55% Feromont130d agomissed
HIGH BUY Yes @ 52¢ $264.9k
2.5× usual
52% doraem0n130d agomissed
MED BUY No @ 49¢ $66.7k
3.2× usual
49% omnibus-076daa PROVEN131d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 48¢ $16.6k48% Kch-Temp PROVEN131d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 47¢ $11.5k47% Kch-Temp PROVEN134d agocalled
LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ $11.5k52% rabbitfoot1135d agomissed

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 41 whale trades on this market totalling $9.39M from 34 wallets. The largest was $6.35M (buy No at 49¢). Most whale money ($6.94M) went to No. 12 of 41 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, mintblade ($6.35M), has no graded flags yet.

Market data from Polymarket (fifwc-irn-nzl-2026-06-15-irn).