← Wallets
−$14.9kYes · avg 27¢ → 14¢ · $15.1k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +0.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+0.0 pts
Called / graded
1/4
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$118.6k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$87.8k
Last 30 days +$7,792 · $2.47M volume · 287 trades · since Jun 01, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$102.8k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$15.5k
Closed-position win rate
28%
43 closed
Wallet age · markets
510d
44 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 18¢ | $13.0k | missed |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $27.0k | missed |
 Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 49¢ | $26.5k | missed |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 14¢ | $22.0k | called |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | MED BUY No @ 48¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
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