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Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $13.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?excluded$13.7k
BUY Yes @ 51¢ · 26,845 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet nottop6896 took Yes (buy) for $13.7k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $13.7k
- Placed
- Jun 15, 20:56 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- nottop6896
- Tx
- 0x4a5cdac6…
This wallet's graded record
5/6+27.3 pts
expected 3.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsYes price · entry 51¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 27¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $30.9k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 40¢ | $53.8k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $28.7k | excluded |