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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did -76.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-76.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$23.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±42.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$43.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.03M volume · 77 trades · since May 31, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$47.9k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$4,628
Closed-position win rate
53%
47 closed
Wallet age · markets
146d
48 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -76.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ | $12.4k | missed |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xa39826566cb711cc10220fbe9fcc560c2faf6c83"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xa39826566cb711cc10220fbe9fcc560c2faf6c83.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa39826…