0xb2c1…4cf3

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +53.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?−$1,386Yes · avg 61¢ → 47¢ · $4,614

Price-adjusted edge

+53.0 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.5

Flagged volume

$201.6k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.9 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$10.2k

Last 30 days −$1,767 · $1.71M volume · 77 trades · since May 14, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$142.6k

Open P&L · 15 positions

−$130.5k

Closed-position win rate

78%

18 closed

Wallet age · markets

163d

33 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	1	0.5	+53.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢	$38.9k	77%	128d ago	excluded
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢	$18.9k	52%	130d ago	excluded
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5	LOW SELL Under @ 99¢	$69.4k 2.4× usual	1%	130d ago	excluded
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5	LOW BUY Under @ 55¢	$38.9k	55%	130d ago	excluded
Spread: Spain (-2.5)	LOW BUY Spain @ 53¢	$16.7k	53%	130d ago	excluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢	$18.9k	47%	133d ago	called

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?excluded

BUY Yes @ 77¢$38.9k

LOW 0xb2c1…4cf3 · 128d ago

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?excluded

BUY Yes @ 52¢$18.9k

LOW 0xb2c1…4cf3 · 130d ago

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5excluded

SELL Under @ 99¢$69.4k

LOW 0xb2c1…4cf3 · 130d ago

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5excluded

BUY Under @ 55¢$38.9k

LOW 0xb2c1…4cf3 · 130d ago

Spread: Spain (-2.5)excluded

BUY Spain @ 53¢$16.7k

LOW 0xb2c1…4cf3 · 130d ago

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?called

BUY Yes @ 47¢$18.9k

LOW 0xb2c1…4cf3 · 133d ago

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