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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +0.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+0.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$769.8k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$97.0k
Last 30 days +$3,248 · $35.28M volume · 20,732 trades · since Apr 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$7.46M
Open P&L · 130 positions
−$1.15M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
186d
1153 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 55¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
 Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | LOW BUY Legacy @ 42¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner | LOW BUY Top Esports @ 46¢ | $23.7k | excluded |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY ThunderTalk Gaming @ 60¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner | LOW BUY G2 Esports @ 62¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner | LOW BUY Dplus KIA @ 51¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 85¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
 United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW BUY United States @ 53¢ | $12.6k | missed |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | MED BUY England @ 52¢ | $74.9k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | MED BUY England @ 51¢ | $56.3k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner | LOW BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 56¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | MED BUY Argentina @ 95.2¢ | $79.1k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 47¢ | $139.7k 6.7× usual |
called |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $186.9k 8.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW BUY No @ 54¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $48.2k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
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