0xc67a…f0b6

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did -18.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

-18.3 pts

Called / graded

1/3

Expected from price

1.6

Flagged volume

$3.44M

Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.5 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$5.09M

Last 30 days +$0 · $18.54M volume · 5,362 trades · since Jun 11, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$643.2k

Open P&L · 11 positions

−$5.69M

Closed-position win rate

58%

12 closed

Wallet age · markets

135d

23 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	3	1	1.6	-18.3 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	MED BUY No @ 48¢	$187.2k	48%	117d ago	excluded
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	MED BUY No @ 47¢	$500.0k	47%	117d ago	missed
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 55¢	$900.0k 2.6× usual	55%	118d ago	excluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 47¢	$1.01M 3.0× usual	47%	120d ago	excluded
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	MED BUY Yes @ 54¢	$108.0k	54%	130d ago	excluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 62¢	$496.0k	62%	131d ago	missed
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	MED BUY Yes @ 49¢	$146.0k	49%	131d ago	excluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢	$92.0k	46%	133d ago	called

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?excluded

BUY No @ 48¢$187.2k

MED 0xc67a…f0b6 · 117d ago

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?missed

BUY No @ 47¢$500.0k

MED 0xc67a…f0b6 · 117d ago

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?excluded

BUY Yes @ 55¢$900.0k

HIGH 0xc67a…f0b6 · 118d ago

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?excluded

BUY Yes @ 47¢$1.01M

HIGH 0xc67a…f0b6 · 120d ago

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?excluded

BUY Yes @ 54¢$108.0k

MED 0xc67a…f0b6 · 130d ago

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?missed

BUY Yes @ 62¢$496.0k

HIGH 0xc67a…f0b6 · 131d ago

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?excluded

BUY Yes @ 49¢$146.0k

MED 0xc67a…f0b6 · 131d ago

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?called

BUY Yes @ 46¢$92.0k

LOW 0xc67a…f0b6 · 133d ago

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