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What this means. A wallet put $264.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$264.9k
BUY Yes @ 52¢ · 508,356 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $250k4 fills in 1h2.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet doraem0n took Yes (buy) for $264.9k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $264.9k+3
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−109American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 52.1%
- As American odds
- −109 no vig
- Size
- $264.9k
- Placed
- Jun 15, 08:39 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- doraem0n
- Tx
- 0x3f36ebd0…
This wallet's graded record
1/7-34.8 pts
expected 3.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -52 ptsYes price · entry 52¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 27¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $30.9k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 40¢ | $53.8k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $28.7k | excluded |