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What this means. A wallet put $11.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-20.1 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.0k
BUY Yes @ 55¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet Feromont took Yes (buy) for $11.0k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 55.0%
- As American odds
- −122 no vig
- Size
- $11.0k
- Placed
- Jun 15, 17:05 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Feromont
- Tx
- 0x85c170af…
This wallet's graded record
8/20-20.1 pts
expected 12.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -55 ptsYes price · entry 55¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 27¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $30.9k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 40¢ | $53.8k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $28.7k | excluded |