← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $41.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 18% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$41.0k
SELL Yes @ 82¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ygggg1 took Yes (sell) for $41.0k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 18% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $41.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 82¢
- Implied odds
- 18.0%
- As American odds
- +456 no vig
- Size
- $41.0k
- Placed
- Jul 03, 18:25 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 03, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ygggg1
- Tx
- 0x150a5e7b…
This wallet's graded record
10/17+1.2 pts
expected 9.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +82 ptsYes price · entry 82¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $90.4k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $79.6k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $40.9k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $999.0k 19.2× usual |
excluded |