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Will France win on 2026-06-16?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $31.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-06-16?excluded$31.8k
BUY No @ 53¢ · 60,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ygggg1 took No (buy) for $31.8k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $31.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $31.8k
- Placed
- Jun 16, 16:09 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 16, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ygggg1
- Tx
- 0x9e2e89d2…
This wallet's graded record
10/17+1.2 pts
expected 9.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -53 ptsNo price · entry 53¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $29.7k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.2¢ | $43.3k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.3k 4.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $239.2k | excluded |