Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $3.38M 56 flags |
$262.8k 2 wallets |
$14.6k 1 wallet |
| Not Yes | $2.48M 24 flags |
none | $43.3k 1 wallet |
| No | $825.1k 15 flags |
$83.2k 2 wallets |
none |
| Not No | $81.6k 2 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $29.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.2¢ | $43.3k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.3k 4.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $239.2k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.24M 5.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $37.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $17.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 97¢ | $86.9k 4.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98.9¢ | $29.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 97.7¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $46.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ | $207.9k 6.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98.3¢ | $60.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 98¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 96¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $18.7k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 82¢ | $102.3k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 61¢ | $151.9k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $29.2k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 82¢ | $44.1k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $200.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 55¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 55¢ | $34.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 69¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $24.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $44.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 51¢ | $30.6k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 53¢ | $53.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $49.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $31.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $98.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $48.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 50¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 35¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $99.0k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $403.1k 8.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 35¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 34¢ | $51.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $35.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 34¢ | $106.6k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 34¢ | $338.4k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 34¢ | $51.0k | excluded |
| HIGH SELL Yes @ 67¢ | $100.5k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $142.8k 4.5× usual |
called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $66.3k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $41.0k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 33¢ | $70.0k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 33¢ | $10.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $22.3k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 33¢ | $18.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $11.8k | called |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $552.9k 2.4× usual |
called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $28.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $13.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $33.5k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $10.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $19.9k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $84.0k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $100.5k 2.7× usual |
called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $234.6k 7.1× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $20.0k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 34¢ | $18.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $10.8k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $100.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $28.9k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $14.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 34¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $100.0k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 34¢ | $37.3k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $96.3k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 66¢ | $12.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $10.1k | called |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 97 whale trades on this market totalling $6.77M from 68 wallets. The largest was $1.24M (sell Yes at 99.9¢). Most whale money ($3.38M) went to Yes. 58 of 97 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, Latina ($1.89M), has called 3 of 6 graded flags overall (-6.7 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (fifwc-fra-sen-2026-06-16-fra).