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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +25.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+25.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$84.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±43.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$22.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.29M volume · 990 trades · since Feb 23, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$88.9k
Open P&L · 17 positions
−$69.4k
Closed-position win rate
64%
36 closed
Wallet age · markets
243d
50 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +25.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
 Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 40¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $50.7k 4.3× usual |
called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x33c11b…