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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.5 wins, so it did -11.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-11.3 pts
Called / graded
2/4
Expected from price
2.5
Flagged volume
$135.9k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$62.6k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.50M volume · 567 trades · since Feb 28, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$257.4k
Open P&L · 14 positions
−$316.2k
Closed-position win rate
90%
21 closed
Wallet age · markets
238d
35 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 1 | 1.9 | -30.7 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +47.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $15.5k | called |
| France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 48¢ | $24.0k | missed |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $42.4k | called |
 UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 82¢ | $32.0k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x355d6c…