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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$99.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$4,838
Last 30 days +$0 · $223.9k volume · 92 trades · since Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$4,969
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$130
Closed-position win rate
45%
40 closed
Wallet age · markets
140d
39 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 97.8¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.8¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | MED SELL No @ 75¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY No @ 60¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd217b2…