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What this means. A wallet put $20.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?excluded
$20.8k
BUY No @ 60¢ · 34,570 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet ognissanti took No (buy) for $20.8k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $20.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−151American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
60¢
Implied odds
60.1%
As American odds
−151 no vig
Size
$20.8k
Placed
Jun 15, 15:21 EDT
Market close
Jun 15, 15:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ognissanti
Tx
0xf1b07e87…

Entry to resolution

Grade +40 pts
No price · entry 60¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 60¢ · $20.8k WHALE $20.8K @ 60¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $199.8k
6.7× usual
0% cc9999130d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $78.1k
2.1× usual
0% VPenguin130d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $159.8k
6.9× usual
0% beet420130d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% meoooow130d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $92.9k
2.5× usual
0% Swooferdeluxe130d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $186.9k
8.9× usual
0% heal-.-130d agoexcluded