← Wallets
+$66Falcons · avg 33¢ → 42¢ · $294
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.1 wins, so it did -26.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-26.9 pts
Called / graded
1/4
Expected from price
2.1
Flagged volume
$1.17M
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$503.9k
Last 30 days +$11.8k · $18.90M volume · 13,455 trades · since May 08, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 450 closed
+$2.89M
Open P&L · 424 positions
−$3.64M
Closed-position win rate
100%
450 closed
Wallet age · markets
169d
928 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 1 | 2.1 | -26.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. England: Team to Win | LOW BUY England @ 97.8¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 50¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $159.8k 6.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $150.0k 6.5× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | LOW SELL Cabo Verde @ 46¢ | $25.6k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
 Spurs vs. Knicks | MED BUY Spurs @ 46¢ | $139.7k 6.0× usual |
called |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 66¢ | $17.7k | missed |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 60¢ | $20.1k | missed |
 Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 53¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 41¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 71¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | MED BUY Cavaliers @ 74¢ | $124.7k 5.4× usual |
excluded |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | MED BUY Timberwolves @ 35¢ | $274.5k 11.8× usual |
missed |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Thunder @ 83¢ | $47.6k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
 UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Sean Strickland @ 99.9¢ | $120.6k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
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