← Wallets
+$5,758T1 · avg 56¢ → 68¢ · $31.3k · 1 proven with, 1 against
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -67.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
Not Gen.G · LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Same side: 0 proven · 0 losing Other side: 1 proven · 0 losing
Price-adjusted edge
-67.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$4.39M
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±47.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1.26M
Last 30 days +$13.7k · $92.11M volume · 47,481 trades · since Sep 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$14.57M
Open P&L · 124 positions
−$373.0k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
760d
2126 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -67.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | LOW SELL Gen.G @ 99.9¢ | $24.5k | pending |
 UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) | LOW SELL Alexander Volkanovski @ 99.9¢ | $37.9k | excluded |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
 Dota 2: 1win vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner | LOW SELL GamerLegion @ 99.9¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien | LOW SELL Karen Khachanov @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | LOW SELL Gen.G @ 99.9¢ | $39.4k | excluded |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner | LOW SELL Anyones Legend @ 99.9¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner | LOW SELL T1 @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner | LOW BUY T1 @ 53¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
 Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $78.1k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | LOW BUY T1 @ 52¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | MED SELL Team Yandex @ 99.9¢ | $197.6k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | MED BUY Team Yandex @ 63¢ | $124.2k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
 Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $388.7k 10.2× usual |
excluded |
 Knicks vs. Cavaliers | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 36¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | LOW BUY Knicks @ 61¢ | $28.5k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $177.0k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 73¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $255.5k 6.7× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner | LOW SELL Kiwoom DRX @ 99.9¢ | $132.0k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner | MED BUY Kiwoom DRX @ 32¢ | $29.3k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Pistons @ 47¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? | LOW BUY No @ 25¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
 Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13? | LOW SELL No @ 54¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $407.2k 10.7× usual |
excluded |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Spurs @ 52¢ | $33.8k | excluded |
| UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims) | LOW SELL Jim Miller @ 99.9¢ | $75.2k | excluded |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner | MED SELL HANJIN BRION @ 99.9¢ | $256.9k 6.8× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner | MED BUY HANJIN BRION @ 43¢ | $97.5k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 73¢ | $41.0k | excluded |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | MED BUY Knicks @ 72¢ | $118.0k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
 Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | LOW SELL Sunrisers Hyderabad @ 99.9¢ | $19.5k | excluded |
| Pistons vs. Magic | LOW BUY Pistons @ 43¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 31¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY Aurora @ 46¢ | $65.1k | excluded |
| UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims) | LOW SELL Rafa Garcia @ 99.9¢ | $55.8k | excluded |
| UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims) | LOW BUY Rafa Garcia @ 99.9¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner | LOW SELL Team Liquid @ 99.9¢ | $149.7k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | LOW BUY Rockets @ 59¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner | MED BUY BetBoom Team @ 54¢ | $110.3k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | LOW SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢ | $210.0k 5.5× usual |
excluded |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | MED BUY PARIVISION @ 57¢ | $71.6k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | LOW SELL Knicks @ 50¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | LOW SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢ | $24.7k | excluded |
 Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03? | LOW SELL No @ 43¢ | $36.1k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | LOW SELL Cavaliers @ 44¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) | LOW SELL Pacers @ 99.9¢ | $145.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) | LOW BUY Pacers @ 53¢ | $77.3k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs | LOW SELL Xtreme Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $196.4k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stage | LOW SELL GIANTX @ 99.9¢ | $49.7k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? | LOW SELL No @ 33¢ | $12.2k | missed |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $100.6k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $78.6k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21? | MED BUY No @ 32¢ | $25.3k | excluded |
| LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | LOW BUY LGD Gaming @ 59¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) | LOW SELL Saint Denis @ 99.9¢ | $44.0k | excluded |
| LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage | LOW SELL T1 @ 99.9¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
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