tyutgbhnm

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.5 wins, so it did +18.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House−$152Yes · avg 66¢ → 66¢ · $19.9k · 2 proven with, 0 against Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?−$6Yes · avg 98.4¢ → 98.4¢ · $14.8k

Price-adjusted edge

+18.0 pts

Called / graded

3/3

Expected from price

2.5

Flagged volume

$411.4k

Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.2 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$12.8k

Last 30 days −$2,575 · $5.30M volume · 4,328 trades · since Apr 28, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$624.9k

Open P&L · 42 positions

−$645.5k

Closed-position win rate

89%

62 closed

Wallet age · markets

180d

100 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	3	3	2.5	+18.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	MED BUY Ben Shelton @ 48¢	$34.9k	48%	45d ago	excluded
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner	LOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 68¢	$10.4k	68%	63d ago	excluded
France vs. England: Team to Win	LOW BUY France @ 70¢	$32.0k	70%	98d ago	excluded
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢	$61.5k	62%	107d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED SELL Yes @ 17¢	$40.5k	83%	112d ago	called
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	LOW BUY No @ 58¢	$11.6k	58%	112d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL Yes @ 18¢	$20.5k	82%	115d ago	called
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢	$73.0k 2.3× usual	73%	128d ago	excluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢	$29.2k	81%	130d ago	excluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	LOW SELL Yes @ 50¢	$16.8k	50%	130d ago	excluded
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev	LOW BUY Alexander Zverev @ 81¢	$81.0k 2.5× usual	81%	139d ago	called

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcarazexcluded

BUY Ben Shelton @ 48¢$34.9k

MED tyutgbhnm · 45d ago

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerexcluded

BUY TEAM VISION @ 68¢$10.4k

LOW tyutgbhnm · 63d ago

France vs. England: Team to Winexcluded

BUY France @ 70¢$32.0k

LOW tyutgbhnm · 98d ago

Will France win on 2026-07-09?excluded

BUY Yes @ 62¢$61.5k

LOW tyutgbhnm · 107d ago

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

SELL Yes @ 17¢$40.5k

MED tyutgbhnm · 112d ago

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?excluded

BUY No @ 58¢$11.6k

LOW tyutgbhnm · 112d ago

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

SELL Yes @ 18¢$20.5k

LOW tyutgbhnm · 115d ago

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?excluded

BUY Yes @ 73¢$73.0k

LOW tyutgbhnm · 128d ago

Will France win on 2026-06-16?excluded

BUY Yes @ 81¢$29.2k

LOW tyutgbhnm · 130d ago

Will France win on 2026-06-16?excluded

SELL Yes @ 50¢$16.8k

LOW tyutgbhnm · 130d ago

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevcalled

BUY Alexander Zverev @ 81¢$81.0k

LOW tyutgbhnm · 139d ago

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