← Wallets
−$631Yes · avg 25¢ → 3.4¢ · $99
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +9.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+9.1 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$56.2k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±29.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$123.1k
Last 30 days −$466 · $1.04M volume · 223 trades · since Jun 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$54.8k
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$176.4k
Closed-position win rate
80%
5 closed
Wallet age · markets
130d
13 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 0.8 | +9.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 15¢ | $15.2k | missed |
 Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $41.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa10773…