0x5f65…2036

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did +11.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+11.8 pts

Called / graded

2/4

Expected from price

1.5

Flagged volume

$2.74M

Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.6 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$2.19M

Last 30 days +$0 · $90.96M volume · 4,028 trades · since Jun 03, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng	LOW SELL Qinwen Zheng @ 84¢	$19.8k	16%	48d ago	excluded
US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina	MED SELL Luciano Darderi @ 83¢	$56.3k 2.0× usual	17%	50d ago	excluded
US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina	MED BUY Luciano Darderi @ 58¢	$39.3k	58%	50d ago	excluded
US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli	LOW SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 69¢	$19.7k	31%	52d ago	excluded
US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli	LOW BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 66¢	$19.0k	66%	52d ago	excluded
US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli	MED SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 69¢	$87.1k 3.1× usual	31%	52d ago	excluded
US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli	LOW BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 57¢	$19.0k	57%	52d ago	excluded
US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Harry Wendelken	LOW SELL Luciano Darderi @ 78¢	$10.8k	22%	53d ago	excluded
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade	LOW SELL Andres Andrade @ 34¢	$17.6k	66%	55d ago	excluded
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade	LOW BUY Andres Andrade @ 56¢	$30.0k	56%	55d ago	excluded
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Jack Pinnington Jones	LOW SELL Otto Virtanen @ 87¢	$23.5k	13%	58d ago	excluded
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?	MED SELL Yes @ 96¢	$32.4k	4%	61d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima	LOW SELL Taylor Fritz @ 65¢	$23.0k	35%	63d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima	LOW SELL Brandon Nakashima @ 55¢	$22.3k	45%	63d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima	LOW BUY Brandon Nakashima @ 37¢	$20.0k	37%	63d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli	MED SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 56¢	$61.4k 2.2× usual	44%	64d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli	LOW BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 42¢	$13.0k	42%	64d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev	MED SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 64¢	$71.3k 2.5× usual	36%	66d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev	LOW BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 57¢	$35.0k	57%	66d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskaya	MED SELL Anna Kalinskaya @ 76¢	$27.3k	24%	67d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskaya	LOW BUY Anna Kalinskaya @ 50¢	$18.0k	50%	67d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli	LOW SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 90¢	$10.7k	10%	67d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli	LOW BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 48¢	$11.4k	48%	67d ago	called
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	LOW SELL Thiago Agustin Tirante @ 38¢	$10.2k	62%	69d ago	excluded
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils	LOW BUY Arthur Fils @ 23¢	$12.0k	23%	73d ago	excluded
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonova	LOW SELL Liudmila Samsonova @ 91.1¢	$18.1k	9%	77d ago	excluded
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez	LOW BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 56¢	$30.0k	56%	77d ago	excluded
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys	LOW BUY Madison Keys @ 46¢	$49.6k	46%	78d ago	excluded
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys	LOW SELL Madison Keys @ 43¢	$40.9k	57%	78d ago	excluded
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys	LOW BUY Madison Keys @ 47¢	$49.3k	47%	78d ago	missed
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone	LOW SELL Valentin Vacherot @ 82¢	$13.6k	18%	79d ago	excluded
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala	LOW SELL Alexandra Eala @ 44¢	$15.1k	56%	81d ago	excluded
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala	MED SELL Jessica Pegula @ 76¢	$34.4k	24%	82d ago	called
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala	LOW BUY Jessica Pegula @ 64¢	$28.9k	64%	82d ago	missed
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya	MED SELL Anna Kalinskaya @ 89¢	$28.1k	11%	85d ago	excluded
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya	LOW BUY Anna Kalinskaya @ 54¢	$17.0k	54%	85d ago	excluded
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paul	LOW SELL Kamil Majchrzak @ 57¢	$12.2k	43%	87d ago	excluded
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	LOW SELL Roman Andres Burruchaga @ 99.9¢	$17.0k	0%	93d ago	excluded
Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse	LOW BUY Vit Kopriva @ 30¢	$12.0k	30%	95d ago	excluded
Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli	MED SELL Titouan Droguet @ 74¢	$32.3k	26%	95d ago	excluded
Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli	LOW BUY Titouan Droguet @ 50¢	$12.0k	50%	95d ago	excluded
Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli	LOW SELL Camilo Ugo Carabelli @ 48¢	$22.8k	52%	95d ago	excluded
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Eala	LOW BUY Alexandra Eala @ 38¢	$10.0k	38%	109d ago	excluded
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli	LOW BUY Alex de Minaur @ 54¢	$15.0k	54%	109d ago	excluded
Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertens	MED SELL Elise Mertens @ 76¢	$26.6k	24%	109d ago	excluded
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5	LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢	$33.3k	0%	110d ago	excluded
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5	LOW BUY Over @ 39¢	$13.0k	39%	110d ago	called
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢	$21.0k	52%	114d ago	excluded
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert	LOW SELL Zizou Bergs @ 99.9¢	$242.6k 8.6× usual	0%	117d ago	excluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	MED BUY Yes @ 52¢	$90.4k 3.2× usual	52%	118d ago	excluded
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert	LOW BUY Zizou Bergs @ 31¢	$10.0k	31%	118d ago	called
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	MED SELL Yes @ 86¢	$69.2k 2.5× usual	14%	121d ago	excluded
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5	LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢	$53.3k	0%	121d ago	excluded
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5	LOW BUY Over @ 78¢	$41.0k	78%	121d ago	excluded
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritz	LOW SELL Taylor Fritz @ 99.9¢	$185.7k 6.6× usual	0%	125d ago	excluded
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritz	MED BUY Taylor Fritz @ 34¢	$32.0k	34%	125d ago	excluded
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova	MED SELL Aryna Sabalenka @ 74¢	$50.9k	26%	126d ago	excluded
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova	HIGH SELL Nikola Bartunkova @ 78¢	$121.1k 4.3× usual	22%	126d ago	excluded
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢	$43.3k	41%	128d ago	called
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5	LOW SELL Over @ 99¢	$22.0k	1%	129d ago	excluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	MED SELL Yes @ 82¢	$102.3k 3.6× usual	18%	129d ago	excluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢	$50.0k	48%	129d ago	excluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢	$52.0k	64%	130d ago	excluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢	$94.0k 3.3× usual	47%	131d ago	missed
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	MED BUY Yes @ 63¢	$87.5k 3.1× usual	63%	132d ago	excluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	MED BUY Yes @ 46¢	$70.0k 2.5× usual	46%	133d ago	called
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev	MED BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 19¢	$58.6k 2.1× usual	19%	138d ago	missed

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