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What this means. A wallet put $94.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$94.0k
BUY Yes @ 47¢ · 200,000 shares
Size ≥ $10k3.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x5f65…2036 took Yes (buy) for $94.0k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $94.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 47.0%
- As American odds
- +113 no vig
- Size
- $94.0k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 13:45 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x5f65…2036
- Tx
- 0xba583a5d…
This wallet's graded record
2/4+11.8 pts
expected 1.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -47 ptsYes price · entry 47¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $44.0k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $54.0k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $135.2k 10.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $119.9k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |