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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -36.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-36.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$1.19M
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$814.5k
Last 30 days +$0 · $78.08M volume · 62,202 trades · since Jan 14, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$14.77M
Open P&L · 207 positions
−$5.70M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
283d
1121 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -36.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Alexandra Eala @ 57¢ | $13.1k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Alex de Minaur @ 73¢ | $29.4k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Alexandra Eala @ 35¢ | $22.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Under @ 38¢ | $11.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 50¢ | $25.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $55.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $44.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $52.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $18.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 41¢ | $28.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Chicago Cubs @ 36¢ | $18.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 78¢ | $130.5k 3.6× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Hawks @ 32¢ | $43.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 85¢ | $20.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 99.9¢ | $48.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 59¢ | $42.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 36¢ | $23.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $13.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $112.5k 3.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $117.1k 3.3× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $46.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 53¢ | $10.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Pistons @ 76¢ | $15.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 2.8× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 36¢ | $36.0k | missed | |
| LOW BUY No @ 48¢ | $48.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Patriots @ 50¢ | $67.5k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa8e089…