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What this means. A wallet put $112.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$112.5k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 112,634 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)3.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Wannac took Yes (sell) for $112.5k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $112.5k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $112.5k
- Placed
- Mar 01, 12:17 EST
- Market close
- Mar 01, 09:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Wannac
- Tx
- 0xf4b65d05…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-36.0 pts
expected 0.4 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $117.1k 3.3× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 92.3¢ | $33.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $39.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ | $42.8k | excluded |