123abc

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +10.4 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+10.4 pts

Called / graded

1/2

Expected from price

0.8

Flagged volume

$289.0k

Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.2 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$843.7k

Last 30 days −$40.0k · $55.92M volume · 58,497 trades · since Jul 08, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$6.97M

Open P&L · 400 positions

−$3.98M

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

838d

1430 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	2	1	0.8	+10.4 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Nuggets vs. Thunder	LOW BUY Nuggets @ 26¢	$12.1k	26%	2d ago	missed
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance	LOW BUY Norway @ 31¢	$12.4k	31%	104d ago	excluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY Yes @ 2.2¢	$12.7k	2%	108d ago	excluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	MED BUY Egypt @ 30¢	$85.1k 6.7× usual	30%	108d ago	excluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$135.2k 10.6× usual	0%	131d ago	excluded
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	LOW BUY No @ 53¢	$20.3k	53%	141d ago	called
Kings vs. Hurricanes	LOW SELL Hurricanes @ 99.9¢	$11.1k	0%	264d ago	excluded

Nuggets vs. Thundermissed

BUY Nuggets @ 26¢$12.1k

LOW 123abc · 2d ago

Norway vs. England: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY Norway @ 31¢$12.4k

LOW 123abc · 104d ago

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY Yes @ 2.2¢$12.7k

LOW 123abc · 108d ago

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY Egypt @ 30¢$85.1k

MED 123abc · 108d ago

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$135.2k

LOW 123abc · 131d ago

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?called

BUY No @ 53¢$20.3k

LOW 123abc · 141d ago

Kings vs. Hurricanesexcluded

SELL Hurricanes @ 99.9¢$11.1k

LOW 123abc · 264d ago

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