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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Alex de Minaur, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolliexcluded
$15.0k
BUY Alex de Minaur @ 54¢ · 27,697 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x5f65…2036 took Alex de Minaur (buy) for $15.0k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved Flavio Cobolli. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−118American odds
$1.00paid per share if Alex de Minaur wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
54¢
Implied odds
54.2%
As American odds
−118 no vig
Size
$15.0k
Placed
Jul 06, 09:01 EDT
Market close
Jul 06, 08:10 EDT
Result
Flavio Cobolli
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x5f65…2036
Tx
0x67f4f3af…
This wallet's graded record
2/4+11.8 pts
expected 1.5 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -54 pts
Alex de Minaur price · entry 54¢ · resolved Flavio Cobolli
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 54¢ · $15.0k WHALE $15.0K @ 54¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio CobolliLOW SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 99.9¢ $22.1k0% Hydraze110d agoexcluded
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio CobolliLOW SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 99.9¢ $11.6k0% gysh.qs110d agoexcluded
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio CobolliLOW SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 99.9¢ $11.1k0% Kl1023yx110d agoexcluded
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio CobolliLOW BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 97.5¢ $40.0k97% 0xf837…bd42110d agoexcluded
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio CobolliMED BUY Alex de Minaur @ 42¢ $46.7k42% 0x547f…2937110d agoexcluded
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio CobolliMED BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 56¢ $112.0k
2.7× usual
56% 0x2c33…0563110d agoexcluded