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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Alex de Minaur, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY Alex de Minaur @ 54¢ · 27,697 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x5f65…2036 took Alex de Minaur (buy) for $15.0k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved Flavio Cobolli. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−118American odds
$1.00paid per share if Alex de Minaur wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 54¢
- Implied odds
- 54.2%
- As American odds
- −118 no vig
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Jul 06, 09:01 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 06, 08:10 EDT
- Result
- Flavio Cobolli
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x5f65…2036
- Tx
- 0x67f4f3af…
This wallet's graded record
2/4+11.8 pts
expected 1.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -54 ptsAlex de Minaur price · entry 54¢ · resolved Flavio Cobolli
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 99.9¢ | $22.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 97.5¢ | $40.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Alex de Minaur @ 42¢ | $46.7k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 56¢ | $112.0k 2.7× usual |
excluded |