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curie

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$2.23M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1.41M
Last 30 days +$62.6k · $106.24M volume · 562,552 trades · since Oct 17, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$5.12M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$664.1k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
737d
64470 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Cavaliers vs. 76ersLOW BUY 76ers @ 87¢ $16.4k87% 1d agoexcluded
Cavaliers vs. 76ersLOW BUY Cavaliers @ 92¢ $12.9k92% 1d agoexcluded
Hawks vs. MagicLOW BUY Hawks @ 97.2¢ $11.2k97% 2d agoexcluded
76ers vs. KnicksMED BUY 76ers @ 80¢ $79.7k
4.4× usual
80% 3d agoexcluded
76ers vs. KnicksLOW BUY Knicks @ 67¢ $11.4k67% 3d agoexcluded
Cowboys vs. PackersLOW BUY Packers @ 95.4¢ $10.7k95% 5d agoexcluded
Cardinals vs. RamsLOW BUY Rams @ 58¢ $13.3k58% 5d agoexcluded
Texans vs. JaguarsLOW BUY Texans @ 88¢ $24.4k88% 6d agoexcluded
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersMED BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 93.8¢ $82.1k
4.5× usual
94% 9d agoexcluded
Eagles vs. JaguarsLOW BUY Eagles @ 97¢ $49.3k
2.7× usual
97% 12d agoexcluded
Lions vs. PanthersLOW BUY Panthers @ 91¢ $21.9k91% 19d agoexcluded
Chiefs vs. RaidersLOW BUY Chiefs @ 79¢ $61.1k
3.4× usual
79% 19d agoexcluded
Washington vs. USCLOW BUY USC @ 67¢ $21.5k67% 20d agoexcluded
Vikings vs. BuccaneersLOW BUY Vikings @ 66¢ $61.6k
3.4× usual
66% 26d agoexcluded
Raiders vs. SaintsLOW BUY Saints @ 60¢ $15.6k60% 26d agoexcluded
Ravens vs. CowboysLOW BUY Cowboys @ 49¢ $15.6k49% 26d agoexcluded
Chiefs vs. DolphinsLOW BUY Dolphins @ 16¢ $10.8k16% 26d agoexcluded
Giants vs. RamsLOW BUY Rams @ 92¢ $24.0k92% 32d agoexcluded
Colts vs. ChiefsLOW BUY Chiefs @ 97.9¢ $29.0k98% 33d agoexcluded
Vikings vs. BearsLOW BUY Vikings @ 76¢ $15.9k76% 33d agoexcluded
Cowboys vs. GiantsMED BUY Giants @ 86¢ $135.4k
7.5× usual
86% 40d agoexcluded
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco GiantsLOW BUY San Diego Padres @ 95¢ $14.7k95% 42d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $15.4k90% 96d agoexcluded
France vs. England: Team to WinMED BUY England @ 94.7¢ $35.1k95% 97d agoexcluded
France vs. England: Team to WinMED BUY England @ 90¢ $161.6k
8.9× usual
90% 97d agoexcluded
France vs. England: Team to WinLOW BUY France @ 25¢ $10.2k25% 97d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-18?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $16.9k95% 97d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceMED BUY Argentina @ 92.4¢ $38.5k
2.1× usual
92% 100d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceMED BUY Spain @ 91¢ $28.4k91% 101d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Spain @ 50¢ $11.3k50% 101d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Argentina @ 97.3¢ $25.9k97% 104d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Argentina @ 65¢ $10.9k65% 104d agoexcluded
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Norway @ 51¢ $10.7k51% 104d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢ $12.9k95% 105d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Argentina @ 95¢ $11.2k95% 108d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Egypt @ 58¢ $19.9k58% 108d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ $11.8k48% 109d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMED BUY England @ 96.8¢ $63.9k
3.5× usual
97% 110d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMED BUY Mexico @ 36¢ $43.4k
2.4× usual
36% 110d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY England @ 86¢ $19.5k86% 110d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMED BUY Mexico @ 45¢ $53.5k
2.9× usual
45% 111d agomissed
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceMED BUY Argentina @ 94.3¢ $147.5k
8.1× usual
94% 112d agoexcluded
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?MED BUY No @ 79¢ $27.9k79% 114d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Under @ 98¢ $10.6k98% 115d agoexcluded
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ $42.1k
2.3× usual
98% 116d agoexcluded
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?MED BUY Yes @ 94.3¢ $58.8k
3.2× usual
94% 117d agoexcluded
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?MED BUY Yes @ 80¢ $126.3k
7.0× usual
80% 123d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.2¢ $11.0k97% 123d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?LOW BUY Yes @ 34¢ $14.5k34% 123d agoexcluded
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?LOW BUY No @ 79¢ $12.9k79% 124d agoexcluded
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ $11.2k64% 124d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ $21.2k84% 125d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?LOW BUY No @ 95.3¢ $21.1k95% 128d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ $36.0k78% 128d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?LOW BUY Yes @ 97¢ $86.9k
4.8× usual
97% 129d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW BUY No @ 97¢ $12.7k97% 130d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?LOW BUY No @ 43¢ $12.1k43% 130d agoexcluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $41.1k
2.3× usual
89% 131d agoexcluded
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 64¢ $33.8k64% 132d agoexcluded
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesLOW BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 92¢ $48.6k
2.7× usual
92% 135d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW BUY Spurs @ 86¢ $24.9k86% 137d agoexcluded
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles AngelsLOW BUY Colorado Rockies @ 79¢ $10.2k79% 144d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 91¢ $15.3k91% 150d agoexcluded
Pistons vs. CavaliersLOW BUY Pistons @ 84¢ $14.1k84% 161d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. LakersLOW BUY Thunder @ 87¢ $16.2k87% 165d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesLOW BUY Timberwolves @ 74¢ $10.6k74% 166d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 82¢ $11.3k82% 169d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesLOW BUY Timberwolves @ 75¢ $12.3k75% 176d agoexcluded

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