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What this means. A wallet put $21.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?excluded
$21.1k
BUY No @ 95.3¢ · 22,167 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet curie took No (buy) for $21.1k at an average 95.3¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $21.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−2034American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
95.3¢
Implied odds
95.3%
As American odds
−2034 no vig
Size
$21.1k
Placed
Jun 17, 14:58 EDT
Market close
Jun 17, 13:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
curie
Tx
0xad44c87f…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $43.2k
2.2× usual
0% Endgametheory129d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% ChloeT1129d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $43.2k0% GrizzliesSuck129d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.0k0% weruix129d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.4k0% TableMax129d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?HIGH SELL No @ 90.5¢ $131.9k
6.8× usual
9% suntori LOSING129d agoexcluded