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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -6.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-6.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$45.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$10.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $352.0k volume · 51 trades · since Jun 03, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$8,435
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$1,600
Closed-position win rate
50%
46 closed
Wallet age · markets
143d
47 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -6.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $25.0k | missed |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $20.0k | called |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x9ac8a276bd5f7815ee43032e6925de81738c5518"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x9ac8a276bd5f7815ee43032e6925de81738c5518.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9ac8a2…