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gezecio

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.3 wins, so it did -67.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-67.0 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.3
Flagged volume
$314.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$82.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $765.7k volume · 54 trades · since Jun 14, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$80.4k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
61%
23 closed
Wallet age · markets
132d
26 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports201.3-67.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ $20.4k58% 105d agomissed
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.8k0% 108d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ $15.4k74% 109d agocalled
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ $56.4k
2.7× usual
84% 122d agoexcluded
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?MED SELL Yes @ 66¢ $41.2k34% 123d agomissed
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ $50.0k
2.4× usual
67% 123d agocalled
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.8k0% 126d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ $32.3k76% 129d agomissed
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $23.0k0% 129d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ $15.6k68% 129d agocalled
Will France win on 2026-06-16?LOW SELL Yes @ 97.7¢ $15.8k2% 129d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ $10.8k67% 130d agocalled

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