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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.3 wins, so it did -67.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-67.0 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.3
Flagged volume
$314.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$82.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $765.7k volume · 54 trades · since Jun 14, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$80.4k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
61%
23 closed
Wallet age · markets
132d
26 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 1.3 | -67.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $20.4k | missed | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $15.4k | called | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $56.4k 2.7× usual |
excluded | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 66¢ | $41.2k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $50.0k 2.4× usual |
called | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ | $32.3k | missed | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $15.6k | called | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 97.7¢ | $15.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $10.8k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x6e3a13…