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What this means. A wallet put $41.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 34% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$41.2k
SELL Yes @ 66¢ · 62,374 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet gezecio took Yes (sell) for $41.2k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 34% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $41.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 66¢
- Implied odds
- 34.0%
- As American odds
- +194 no vig
- Size
- $41.2k
- Placed
- Jun 23, 07:51 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 23, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gezecio
- Tx
- 0x0decf5f3…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-67.0 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -34 ptsYes price · entry 66¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $37.7k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | MED SELL Yes @ 95.9¢ | $39.3k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |