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Will France win on 2026-06-16?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $44.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-06-16?excluded$44.9k
BUY Yes @ 49¢ · 91,726 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ygggg1 took Yes (buy) for $44.9k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $44.9k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.0%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $44.9k
- Placed
- Jun 16, 16:13 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 16, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ygggg1
- Tx
- 0xc268862f…
This wallet's graded record
10/17+1.2 pts
expected 9.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +51 ptsYes price · entry 49¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $29.7k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.2¢ | $43.3k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.3k 4.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $239.2k | excluded |