zhenxiao

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?−$885No · avg 35¢ → 5.5¢ · $165 · 0 proven with, 1 against

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$48.1k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$5,408

Last 30 days −$1,303 · $703.7k volume · 405 trades · since Jun 15, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$99.5k

Open P&L · 20 positions

−$93.8k

Closed-position win rate

90%

21 closed

Wallet age · markets

131d

40 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢	$12.6k	84%	125d ago	excluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢	$11.2k	66%	129d ago	excluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢	$24.3k	90%	130d ago	excluded

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?excluded

BUY Yes @ 84¢$12.6k

LOW zhenxiao · 125d ago

Will France win on 2026-06-16?excluded

BUY Yes @ 66¢$11.2k

LOW zhenxiao · 129d ago

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?excluded

BUY Yes @ 90¢$24.3k

LOW zhenxiao · 130d ago

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