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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$115.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$17.6k
Last 30 days −$1,209 · $15.67M volume · 18,112 trades · since Feb 26, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$61.9k
Open P&L · 43 positions
−$19.2k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
240d
1132 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $46.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 27? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x4f4d87…