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What this means. A wallet put $89.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 11% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?excluded
$89.2k
SELL No @ 89¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)2.4× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet ygggg1 took No (sell) for $89.2k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 11% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $89.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
89¢
Implied odds
10.8%
As American odds
+824 no vig
Size
$89.2k
Placed
Jul 11, 18:52 EDT
Market close
Jul 11, 17:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ygggg1
Tx
0xcac83da6…
This wallet's graded record
10/17+1.2 pts
expected 9.8 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $17.2k0% anon.1980.123104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $19.9k100% 0x2c33…0563104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?MED BUY Yes @ 17¢ $12.1k17% swisstony PROVEN104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?LOW BUY No @ 79¢ $22.1k79% GRINGOMATE104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?LOW SELL Yes @ 19¢ $15.3k81% PlayBlind-com105d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?MED BUY No @ 78¢ $34.1k78% swisstony PROVEN105d agoexcluded