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Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $12.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 17% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?excluded$12.1k
BUY Yes @ 17¢ · 69,950 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took Yes (buy) for $12.1k at an average 17¢. At that price the market implied a 17% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $12.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 17¢ means
17%chance the market gave
+480American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 17¢
- Implied odds
- 17.2%
- As American odds
- +480 no vig
- Size
- $12.1k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 18:46 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x49f00c40…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | MED SELL No @ 89¢ | $89.2k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL Yes @ 19¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | MED BUY No @ 78¢ | $34.1k | excluded |