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anon.1980.123

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did -7.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-7.7 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$1.13M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$155.5k
Last 30 days +$0 · $36.66M volume · 37,124 trades · since Sep 24, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$641.4k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$22.9k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
760d
7277 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other211.2-7.7 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.2k0% 45d agoexcluded
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.7k0% 60d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.3k0% 61d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $100.7k
4.3× usual
0% 63d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ $50.8k
2.2× usual
82% 63d agoexcluded
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $26.4k96% 72d agocalled
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.3¢ $24.8k2% 72d agoexcluded
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 81¢ $11.3k19% 78d agomissed
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ $26.4k1% 82d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $68.8k
2.9× usual
0% 86d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 76¢ $36.6k76% 86d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ $13.0k0% 90d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.3¢ $12.3k1% 90d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?LOW BUY Yes @ 96.7¢ $21.8k97% 91d agocalled
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ $33.7k0% 96d agoexcluded
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Spain @ 92.6¢ $22.0k93% 96d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Argentina @ 98.2¢ $32.2k98% 100d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ $35.7k0% 101d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $46.4k0% 101d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Spain @ 97.9¢ $24.8k98% 101d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-14?LOW BUY No @ 97.7¢ $15.4k98% 101d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $30.9k0% 104d agoexcluded
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceMED BUY England @ 88¢ $39.6k88% 104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $17.2k0% 104d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $11.0k0% 105d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ $10.1k91% 105d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $22.5k0% 108d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceMED BUY Egypt @ 87¢ $43.5k87% 108d agoexcluded
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?LOW BUY No @ 98¢ $24.5k98% 132d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ $15.5k98% 150d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $21.6k90% 151d agoexcluded
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?LOW SELL No @ 97.7¢ $12.1k2% 152d agoexcluded
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?LOW SELL Yes @ 97.9¢ $45.5k2% 154d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 98¢ $14.7k98% 164d agoexcluded
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $30.6k0% 172d agoexcluded
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?LOW BUY No @ 80¢ $16.0k80% 172d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $104.0k
4.4× usual
0% 183d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $15.2k95% 185d agoexcluded
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$18.2k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 45d ago
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$15.7k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 60d ago
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$15.3k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 61d ago
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$100.7k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 63d ago
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?excluded
BUY Yes @ 82¢$50.8k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 63d ago
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?called
BUY No @ 96¢$26.4k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 72d ago
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?excluded
SELL Yes @ 98.3¢$24.8k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 72d ago
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?missed
SELL No @ 81¢$11.3k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 78d ago
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99¢$26.4k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 82d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$68.8k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 86d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 76¢$36.6k
MED anon.1980.123 · 86d ago
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.7¢$13.0k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 90d ago
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.3¢$12.3k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 90d ago
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?called
BUY Yes @ 96.7¢$21.8k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 91d ago
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advanceexcluded
SELL Spain @ 99.8¢$33.7k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 96d ago
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advanceexcluded
BUY Spain @ 92.6¢$22.0k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 96d ago
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advanceexcluded
BUY Argentina @ 98.2¢$32.2k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 100d ago
France vs. Spain: Team to Advanceexcluded
SELL Spain @ 99.8¢$35.7k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 101d ago
Will France win on 2026-07-14?excluded
SELL No @ 99.5¢$46.4k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 101d ago
France vs. Spain: Team to Advanceexcluded
BUY Spain @ 97.9¢$24.8k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 101d ago
Will France win on 2026-07-14?excluded
BUY No @ 97.7¢$15.4k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 101d ago
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advanceexcluded
SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢$30.9k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 104d ago
Norway vs. England: Team to Advanceexcluded
BUY England @ 88¢$39.6k
MED anon.1980.123 · 104d ago
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$17.2k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 104d ago
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$11.0k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 105d ago
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded
BUY Yes @ 91¢$10.1k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 105d ago
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$22.5k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 108d ago
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advanceexcluded
BUY Egypt @ 87¢$43.5k
MED anon.1980.123 · 108d ago
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?excluded
BUY No @ 98¢$24.5k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 132d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 97.9¢$15.5k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 150d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 90¢$21.6k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 151d ago
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?excluded
SELL No @ 97.7¢$12.1k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 152d ago
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?excluded
SELL Yes @ 97.9¢$45.5k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 154d ago
Timberwolves vs. Spursexcluded
BUY Spurs @ 98¢$14.7k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 164d ago
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$30.6k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 172d ago
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?excluded
BUY No @ 80¢$16.0k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 172d ago
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$104.0k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 183d ago
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 95¢$15.2k
LOW anon.1980.123 · 185d ago

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