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What this means. A wallet put $24.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$24.8k
SELL Yes @ 98.3¢ · 25,223 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet anon.1980.123 took Yes (sell) for $24.8k at an average 98.3¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $24.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.3¢
- Implied odds
- 1.7%
- Size
- $24.8k
- Placed
- Aug 13, 06:25 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 15, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- anon.1980.123
- Tx
- 0x352dce35…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-7.7 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -2 ptsYes price · entry 98.3¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $25.8k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ | $34.9k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ | $13.3k | excluded |